Kempton Wednesday 3/11/2021
I do not have as much time as normal today to write up my findings so please excuse me if I am a little more brief than usual. I will be covering the first six races at Kempton and there is Placepot and Quadpot lists at the end of the article. The Placepot and the Quadpot should pay well as the races are hard to pick..
2:45
7f Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Nursery Handicap Cl6 (2yo 0-65)
Renegade Rose is due a change in fortune as two races ago Nicola Currie dropped her whip and still managed to finish one length behind the winner in a 7f class 5 maiden race on soft ground. Last time out the filly did not get a straight forward run and looked to be better suited to 7f.
She will welcome both the return to 7f and the drop in class.
Nicola gave Renegade Rose a good ride when they last met and as long as she can keep hold of her whip this time she will have a great chance of crossing the line first.
Renegade Rose EW 10/1 Bet 365 ¼ 1-3 BOG (5.04pm 02/11/21)
3:15
7f Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Cl5 (2yo)
The Sir Michael Stoute trained Kirilenko is the selection. Hollie Doyle will be in the saddle which is always a plus. It will be her first time riding her as the talented Ryan Moore rode Kirilenko on her debut.
She is from the first crop of Ulysses who could well turn out to be an excellent sire. His 2yo are strong, well developed and have a 17% win rate overall with 14 wins from 84 runs so far. This is a sire for the notebook. Looking at her breeding she should be progressive so is very likely to have come on for her first run.
On her debut she was 2 lengths behind when finishing 5th in a class 3 Maiden race on good to soft. She did not get a clear run and will have a great chance if getting the rub of the green this time.
Kirilenko Win 4/1 Bet365 BOG (5.04pm 02/11/21)
3:45
1m Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (horses In Bands C & D) (GBB) (Div I) Cl5 (2yo)
There is not much information available for the sire of Testing Faith, Time Test currently as he is only been at stud for a few years. The headline stat from his first crop suggests that his progeny may actually prefer the all-weather surface to turf. His 2yo should be reasonably forward and strong judging by the overall wins to runs ratio from all the runs so far.
It is hard to look beyond the Ian Williams trained Testing Faith who clearly has the best form on offer and can make the most of this opportunity
Dougie Costello gave Testing Faith a good ride to finish 2nd last time out on her debut. She looked a little green and should have come on for the experience.
Testing Faith Win 1/1 Bet365 BOG (5.03pm 02/11/21)
4:15
1m Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (horses In Bands C & D) (GBB) (Div II) Cl5 (2yo)
Greenscape gets the nod here.
Last time out she finished 4th on her debut over course and distance. She was a bit short of room at the end of the race but still managed to finish 3 ½ lengths behind the winner in a 14 runner race.
With the benefit of experience and some likely progression she can get the better of Marcelo's Way who ran green on the last two occasions.
Her breeding suggests 1m should be her optimal trip and that she will not mind the standard/slow going.
Greenscape Win 9/4 Bet365 BOG (5.02pm 02/11/2021)
4:45
7f Try Our New Super Boosts At Unibet Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95)
The son of the mighty Street Cry, Street Kid looks like the best one to entrust with your money in this race. The progeny of Street Cry prefer racing on the all-weather to the turf.
He was only put up 3lb for his win in a class 4 handicap at Wolverhampton under David Probert. Horse and rider gelled well and they put in a blistering time. I think he will be very hard to beat with David back in the saddle for this event.
He has good form on both good to soft and soft going so should cope with the projected standard/slow ground. I don’t see the rise in class as being a problem.
Street Kid Win 7/2 Bet365 BOG (5.01pm 02/11/2021)
5:15
6f Try Our New Price Boosts At Unibet Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95)
Mighty Gurkha would have to have completely lost the plot not to be able to beat these.
He won a group 3 as a 2yo over course, distance and going and won a 6f class 2 here at the end of January. He has raced up to Group 1 level and should be a class above his competition on Wednesday afternoon.
He can redeem himself with flying colours here under the guidance of Hollie Doyle who knows the horse inside out after riding him 13 times previously.
The price feels too big to me.
Mighty Gurkha Win 3/1 Bet365 BOG (4.59pm 02/11/2021)
2.45 Renegade Rose (PP1)
3.15 Kirilenko
3.45 Testing Faith (QP1)
4.15 Greenscape
4.45 Street Kid
5.15 Mighty Gurkha